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Preguntas frecuentes sobre el proyecto JEP-CEV-HRDAG de integraciĂłn de datos y estimaciĂłn estadĂstica
ÂżHay una fuente de informaciĂłn Ășnica sobre las vĂctimas del conflicto armado en Colombia?
No. Colombia cuenta con un amplio proceso de documentaciĂłn de vĂctimas del conflicto armado. Cientos de entidades, organizaciones de vĂctimas y organizaciones de la sociedad civil han focalizado sus esfuerzos en registrar la informaciĂłn. Sin embargo, cada entidad u organizaciĂłn desarrolla este proceso con las limitaciones propias de capacidades tĂ©cnicas, logĂsticas, sociales y de misionalidad, lo que conduce a que ninguna entidad ni organizaciĂłn logre documentar el universo completo de vĂctimas.  Esto se debe a que les es imposible llegar a ...
CIIDH Data – Value Labels
Version date: 2000.01.29
Current version: ATV20.1
Patrick Ball & Herbert F. Spirer
v_ind
-------------+-----------
Victim |
Ethnic |
category |
| Freq.
-------------+-----------
1 Indigenous | 2,722
2 Ladino | 1,014
3 Unknown | 13,687
|
Total | 17,423
-------------+-----------
v_sex
----------+-----------
Victim |
Sex | Freq.
----------+-----------
4 F | 2,001
5 M | 11,445
6 d | 3,977
|
Total | 17,423
----------+-----------
v_eth
-------------+-----------
Victim |
Maternal |
language ...
FAQ about the JEP-CEV-HRDAG data integration and statistical estimation project
  1. Is there a single source of information about the victims of the armed conflict in Colombia?
No. Colombia has an extensive documentation process for victims of the armed conflict. Hundreds of institutions, victims' organizations, and civil society organizations have focused their efforts on recording this information. However, each entity or organization develops their documentation process with its own limitations related to technical, logistical, social, and missionary capacities. No entity or organization is able to document the complete universe of victims. This is because it is impossible for them to reach every part of the country, ...
La estadĂstica de mortalidad del conflicto en PerĂș
En ese artĂculo respondemos a una crĂtica del estudio de mortalidad que realizamos para la ComisiĂłn de la Verdad y ReconciliaciĂłn en 2003.
Colombia
Data integration and statistical estimation: A collaboration with the Colombian Truth Commission (CEV) and the Special Jurisdiction for Peace (JEP)
Colombia and the guerrilla of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) reached a Peace Agreement in 2016, which created the Commission for the Clarification of the Truth, Coexistence and Non-Repetition (CEV). The objective of this temporary institution was to discover the truth of what happened in the context of the armed conflict.
2020-2022: The Truth Commission joined with the Special Jurisdiction for Peace (JEP) and HRDAG in the "JEP-CEV-HRDAG data integration and statistical estimation" ...
Revisiting the analysis of event size bias in the Iraq Body Count
(This post is co-authored by Patrick Ball and Megan Price)
In a recent article in the SAIS Review of International Affairs, we wrote about "event size bias," the problem that events of different sizes have different probabilities of being reported. In this case, the size of an event is defined by the number of reported victims. Our concern is that not all violent (in this case homicide) events are recorded, that is, some events will have zero sources. Our theory is that events with fewer victims will receive less coverage than events with more victims, and that a higher proportion of small events will have zero sources relative to large events.
The ...
Tchad – Reportage Photo
[English]
HissĂšne HabrĂ© fĂ»t le PrĂ©sident de lâancienne colonie française du Tchad de 1982 Ă 1990. De nombreuses allĂ©gations crĂ©dibles de torture systĂ©matique et de crimes contre lâhumanitĂ© ont Ă©tĂ© faites contre la Direction de Documentation et de SĂ©curitĂ© (DDS), les forces de lâordre responsables pour la persĂ©cution dâadversaires du rĂ©gime HabrĂ© qui Ă©taient aussi responsables pour lâadministration de nombreuses prisons durant ce rĂ©gime.
âLa Piscineâ est une ancienne piscine qui a Ă©tĂ© couverte par un toit en bĂ©ton. Il est allĂ©guĂ© quâil sâagissait lĂ dâune des prisons de la DDS dans laquelle de nombreux ...
Liberia
In July 2009, The Human Rights Data Analysis Group (HRDAG) concluded a three-year project with the Liberian Truth and Reconciliation Commission to help clarify Liberia's violent history and hold perpetrators of human rights abuses accountable for their actions. (This work was conducted by HRDAG while with Benetech.)
In the course of this work, HRDAG analyzed more than 17,000 victim and witness statements collected by the Liberian Truth and Reconciliation Commission and compiled the data into a report entitled "Descriptive Statistics From Statements to the Liberian Truth and Reconciliation Commission." The report is included as an annex to the final ...
CIIDH Data â Dictionary
Version date: 2000.01.29
Current version: ATV20.1
Patrick Ball & Herbert F. Spirer
The unit of analysis for each record in this structure is VIOLATION.
Each violation was of a particular type, happened at a particular time and place, and was committed by zero, one, or several organizational perpetrators. The violation was committed against zero or one named (individually identified) victim, and zero or more anonymous (unidentified) additional victims. The violation was reported one or more times in one, two, or three source types.
Note that to count the number of times individuals suffered particular violations, users should sum either the ...
Tchad Foire Aux Quesions
Violations de droits de l'homme par l'Etat tchadien sous le régime de HissÚne Habré
[English]
Quels sont les principaux résultats de ce rapport?
Quelles violations de droits de l'homme commises dans les prisons de la DDS ont été prouvées?
Quelle preuve il y a t-il que Habré et la direction de la DDS étaient responsables pour ces violations de droits de l'homme?
D'oĂč proviennent les documents internes de la DDS?
En quelle mesure l'analyse comprise dans le rapport contribue t-elle a l'affaire judiciaire HissÚne Habré?
Est-ce que HRDAG donne des estimations concernant le nombre total de personnes tuées dans les prisons par la DDS - les ...
How we make sure that nobody is counted twice: A peek into HRDAG's record de-duplication
HRDAG is currently evaluating the quality and completeness of the Kosovo Memory Book of the Humanitarian Law Center (HLC) in Belgrade, Serbia. The objective of the Kosovo Memory Book (KMB) is to commemorate every single person who fell victim to armed conflict in Kosovo from 1998 to 2000, either through death or disappearance.
While building and reviewing their database, one of the things that HLC has to do is ârecord linkage,â a process also known as âmatching.â Matching determines whether two records are the same people (âa matchâ) or different people (âa non-matchâ). Matching helps to identify whether two existing records refer ...
Guatemala
Collecting and Protecting Human Rights Data in Guatemala (1991-2013)
In 1996, a peace accord brokered by the United Nations ended 36 years of internal armed conflict in Guatemala. During the hostilities, non-governmental organizations asked for technical support from the scientific community in the project to gather the experiences of witnesses and victims in databases.
From 1993 to 1999 Dr. Patrick Ball, then at the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), worked with the International Center for Human Rights Research in Guatemala (CIIDH) to collect and organize evidence of more than 43,000 human rights violations. The ...
Timor-Leste FAQs
How do you know that there are more conflict-related deaths than have been reported to the Commission for Reception, Truth and Reconciliation (CAVR, by its Portuguese acronym)?
Where did the method of multiple systems estimation come from?
If you didn't have access to the whole population, how do you know how representative these data are of the entire population? i.e. How do you control for bias?
What are the total conflict-related mortality numbers? How many people were killed and disappeared between 1974 and 1999? And how many people died due to hunger and illness?
What is the margin of error associated with these results?
What is ...
Frequently Asked Questions
Multiple Systems Estimation
What is MSE?
What do you mean by statistical inference?
What is an overlap, and how do we know when lists overlap?
How does MSE find the total number of violations?
How was MSE originally developed?
How does the Benetech Human Rights Program use MSE?
1. What is MSE?
A: Multiple Systems Estimation, or MSE, is a family of techniques for statistical inference. MSE uses the overlaps between several incomplete lists of human rights violations to determine the total number of violations.
Return to Top
2. What do you mean by statistical inference?
A: ...
Multiple Systems Estimation: The Matching Process
<<Previous post: Collection, Cleaning, and Canonicalization of Data
Q8. What do you mean by "overlap," and why are overlaps important?
Q9. [In depth] Why is automated matching so important, and what process do you use to match records?
 Q8. What do you mean by "overlap," and why are overlaps important?
MSE estimates the total number of violations by comparing the size of the overlap(s) between lists of human rights violations to the sizes of the lists themselves. By "overlap," we mean the set of incidents, such as deaths, that appear on more than one list of human rights violations. Accurately and efficiently identifying overlaps between ...
Multiple Systems Estimation: Stratification and Estimation
<< Previous post, MSE: The Matching Process
Q10. What is stratification?
Q11. [In depth] How do HRDAG analysts approach stratification, and why is it important?
Q12. How does MSE find the total number of violations?
Q13. [In depth] What are the assumptions of two-system MSE (capture-recapture)? Why are they not necessary with three or more systems?
Q14. What statistical model(s) does HRDAG typically use to calculate MSE estimates? (more…)
Talks
Upcoming Talks
TBA
Past Talks
2015
Presentation on the research behind the Evaluation of the Kosovo Memory Book Database. National Archive, Pristina, Kosovo. Patrick Ball. February 4, 2015.
How do we know what we know? Patrick Ball. Arizona State University. January, 2015.
AAAS Science & Human Rights Coalition Meeting: Big Data & Human Rights. Megan Price, panelist. Washington, D.C. January 15-16, 2015.
Examining the Crisis in Syria: Conference Hosted by New America and Arizona State Universityâs Center on the Future of War and the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism and Mass Communication. Megan Price, panelist. Washingt...
How We Choose Projects
For more than 20 years, HRDAG has been carving out a niche in the international human rights movement. We know what weâre good at and what weâre not qualified to do. We know what quantitative questions we think are important for the community, and we know what we like to do. These preferences guide us as we consider whether to take on a project. Weâre scientists, so our priorities will come as no surprise. We like to stick to science (not ideology), avoid advocacy, answer quantifiable questions, and increase our scientific understanding.
While we have no hard-and-fast rules about what projects to take on, we organize our deliberation ...
How We Choose Projects
For more than 20 years, HRDAG has been carving out a niche in the international human rights movement. We know what weâre good at and what weâre not qualified to do. We know what quantitative questions we think are important for the community, and we know what we like to do. These preferences guide us as we consider whether to take on a project. Weâre scientists, so our priorities will come as no surprise. We like to stick to science (not ideology), avoid advocacy, answer quantifiable questions, and increase our scientific understanding.
While we have no hard-and-fast rules about what projects to take on, we organize our deliberation ...